Budget 2013/14 Northern Territory Economy
Tabled paper 295
Tabled papers for 12th Assembly 2012 - 2016; Tabled papers; ParliamentNT
Tabled by David Tollner
Made available by the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory under Standing Order 240. Where copyright subsists with a third party it remains with the original owner and permission may be required to reuse the material.
Department of the Treasury and Finance
Population 43 Northern Territory Economy 1.893. In 2011, the preliminary TFR for the Territory was 2.443, a substantial increase on the 2010 TFR (2.225), which was higher than in 2009 and earlier years. This large increase in TFR over the two years is remarkable and may be associated with data quality issues in preliminary birth data and population estimates, which cannot be confirmed until these data sets are finalised. In 201112, there were 1014 deaths recorded in the Territory, compared with 1019 in 201011. An increase in the number of deaths is expected as a population ages due to the increasing size of the age cohorts moving through the age spectrum. In the Territory, high outmigration of older aged people, particularly in the nonIndigenous population, somewhat constrains substantial increases in the number of deaths. Standardised death rates (SDRs) enable the comparison of death rates between populations with different age structures by relating them to a standard population. The current standardpopulation is all persons in the Australian population at 30June2001. SDRs are expressed as number of deaths per 1000 persons. In 2011, the SDR in the Territory declined to 7.3, compared with 7.8 in 2010. However, like the latest TFRs, SDRs for 2011 are subject to revision and it is too early to conclude that mortality has infact declined. The SDR in the Territory is substantially higher than in any other jurisdiction and the national rate of 5.6 deaths per 1000 people. The proportion of Indigenous people (who have lower life expectancy) is a large contributing factor to the Territorys high SDR. The SDR in the Territory as at June 2011 is substantially different between Greater Darwin (6.9) and the remainder of the Territory (11.7) where the proportion of Indigenous people to nonIndigenous people is highest. This is evidence of the impact of the Indigenous population on the whole of the Territory SDR. The SDR in the remainder of the Territory is comparable to other areas with large Indigenous populations (north west Queensland, 8.9and the Kimberley, 9.3). In the Territory, Interstate migration has historically been a highly volatile component of population growth. In the year to June2012, NIM detracted 1492people from population growth, as compared with a net loss of 2549people in 201011. The Territory has a highly transient nonIndigenous population as evidenced by the relatively high interstate migration flows to and from the Territory each year. In 201112, an estimated 7.1percent left the Territory for other jurisdictions. Interstate migration detracted less from population growth in 201112 than in 201011 due to a decrease in the number of interstate departures and an increase in the number of interstate arrivals. However, arrivals remained relatively stable in 201112 (15207) comparable to 201011 (15129) and were below the fiveyear average (15981). Interstate migration is heavily influenced by employment factors both in the Territory and interstate but also by cost of living and other lifestyle Deaths Interstate Migration
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