Territory Stories

The Northern Territory news Tue 1 Oct 2013

Details:

Title

The Northern Territory news Tue 1 Oct 2013

Other title

NT news

Collection

The Northern Territory news; NewspaperNT

Date

2013-10-01

Description

This publication contains may contain links to external sites. These external sites may no longer be active.

Language

English

Subject

Community newspapers -- Northern Territory -- Darwin; Australian newspapers -- Northern Territory -- Darwin

Publisher name

News Corp Australia

Place of publication

Darwin

File type

application/pdf

Use

Copyright. Made available by the publisher under licence.

Copyright owner

News Corp Australia

License

https://www.legislation.gov.au/Series/C1968A00063

Parent handle

https://hdl.handle.net/10070/248076

Citation address

https://hdl.handle.net/10070/573275

Page content

www.ntnews.com.au Tuesday, October 1, 2013. NT NEWS. 11 P U B : NTNE-WS-DA-TE:1-OGE:11 CO-LO-R: C-M Y-K Warming certainty rises as reality trends down People scream outside the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on Friday to demand political action on the climate change debate. The panel said it was more certain than ever that humans were causing climate change HOW convenient that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change decided last Friday it was even more certain were heating the world to hell. That meant these UN scaremongers distracted the media from inconvenient truths in their latest report. Fact is, the IPCC showed its got a lot less to be confident about. Global warming is turning from imminent catastrophe to merely a problem or less. Not that youd guess that from media reports. It is more certain than ever that human civilisation is the main cause of global warming, putting the world on track for dangerous temperature rises, wailed The Age. Journalists thought it news that IPCC scientists, who were 90 per cent sure of this six years ago, say they are 95 per cent sure now. Hmm. But how did they figure they were now 5 per cent more sure? Leading climate scientist Professor Judith Curry, of the Georgia Institute of Technology, doesnt buy it: Perhaps they felt it was appropriate or politic that they show progress. Had they not, more journalists might have reported some embarrassing admissions instead. They may have noted this latest IPCC summary for policymakers admits there was an unexpected 15-year pause in warming. As it says: The rate of warming over the past 15 years (0.05 degrees per decade) . . . is smaller than the rate calculated since 1951 (0.12 degrees per decade). Oh, and those sea level rises? The ones the ABCs chief science presenter, Robyn Williams, said could drown our cities under 100m of sea by 2100? Relax. The median sea level rises now tipped under the four IPCC emissions scenarios are between just 26cm and 30cm by 2100, with an extreme possible limit of 82cm. Gone from this summary are earlier IPCC scares, such as Himalayan glaciers vanishing by 2035 (a mistake) and cyclones getting more powerful (not so sure now). Gone, too, is the IPCCs apocalyptic warning that temperatures could soar more than 6C this century. It now predicts as little as 0.3C of warming or 4.8C at most. Anything under 2C would actually be good for us, meaning more rain and better crops not that the IPCC mentions reassuring news. And remember that other scare peddled by Tim Flannery, Al Gore, The Age and our ABC of an ice-free Arctic by this year? In fact, the IPCC says only one of its four scenarios suggests the Arctic might be nearly ice free in summer by mid-century at the earliest. The rest have no confidence of that this century. All this may still sound scary to people with no faith that a much richer and technologically advanced world 100 years from now could easily adapt. Even then, its scary only if you trust the models (mathematical simulations of our climate) that predict all this. But heres the trouble: The IPCC now admits these models had trouble even describing whats happened already. For instance, they hadnt expected we would get almost zero warming since 1998. As the IPCC says: There are, however, differences between simulated and observed trends over periods as short as 10 to 15 years. Nor had they predicted sea ice around Antarctica would actually grow: Most models simulate a small downward trend in Antarctic sea ice . . . in contrast to the small upward trend in observations. Moreover, the IPCC says it has low confidence its models can figure the effect on the climate of clouds. Its not even so confident in regional models used to predict, say, drought in the Murray-Darling Basin. Yet, the IPCC insists it is 95 per cent certain our emissions are heating the world dangerously, and even has excuses for those last 15 years of missing heat. Simple. That heat neatly vanished into the deeper ocean, to depths the IPCC admits it only recently could measure with some confidence, and from where the IPCC warns it will one day erupt. Oh, plus the sun hasnt shone so fiercely. Some soot is also cooling us. And just maybe, ahem, models overestimate the response to increasing greenhouse gas. Environmental economist Professor Ross McKitrick is one of the two sceptics who exposed the dodgy maths behind the infamous hockey stick the IPCC once used to claim the planet hasnt been this warm for millennia. Of this latest IPCC summary, McKitrick quips the IPCC is saying since we started in 1990 we were . . . wrong about the Antarctic, wrong about the tropical troposphere, wrong about the surface, wrong about hurricanes, wrong about the Himalayas, wrong about sensitivity, clueless on clouds and useless on regional trends. And on that basis were 95 per cent confident were right. Yes, the planet may resume warming soon. Yes, our emissions may well contribute. But after so many false scares, and with no warming for so long, lets keep our panic on hold and our hands on our wallets. Smooth sailing on boat turnback showsAbbotts on to awinner TONY Abbott has done what Labor said was impossible sent boat people right back to Indonesia. This game-changing achievement, done twice with zero fuss, puts the lie to claims by Labor and hopeful journalists that the Abbott Governments relations with Indonesia were already rocky. Even more, it exposes as a fraud Labors claim that sending boat people back to Indonesia could not be done. On Friday, HMAS Ballarat returned 44 asylum seekers picked up in the Sunda Strait and transferred them to an Indonesian coast guard vessel to be brought back to Java. Also on Friday, Australian Customs vessel Triton saved 34 other asylum seekers off Rote Island and transferred them to the Indonesian rescue agency Basarnas. Both transfers are yet to be confirmed by the Abbott Government, which seems overly secretive but is determined to slow the frantic media cycle and to take any heat out of the Indonesian relationship. But neither transfer could have happened without goodwill from the Indonesian Government and particularly from President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, who has shown more warmth to Abbott than he did to Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard. Neither Rudd nor Gillard seemed able to do what Abbott has done in his first fortnight in power. Under Labor, boat people intercepted by our navy in Indonesian waters were sent not to Indonesia, but to Christmas Island. In August last year, for instance, 80 boat people were rescued just 43km off Indonesias coast, yet were ferried back to Australia. Two months ago, 101 more were saved less than 100km from Java but ferried to Australia. Labor insisted there was no way Abbott could do it any differently under his turn back the boats policy. Just last June, Rudd warned Abbotts policy would risk some sort of conflict with Indonesia. What rubbish. The drownings must stop. Sending boat people back to where they came from is a critical first step, and Abbotts first big win.


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